Atlantic City: Which way is up?; Sheldon Adelson, prophet

Unburdened of four unprofitable casinos, if the revenue in Atlantic City is counted on a “same store” basis (i.e., leaving Revel, Showboat, the Atlantic Club and Trump Plaza out of the picture), the Boardwalk actually saw a 4% increase in “same store” revenue last month. “We are seeing some new customers who have either never been here before or were going to other properties,” reported Borgata Senior Vice President Joe Lupo, while Resorts Atlantic City is chasing potential new customers with “very aggressive” comps and promotions.

Still, the glass is half-full. Of the play that went to the four closed casinos, “We expect a little bit more than 50 percent of that business to be recaptured by the
Borgata_ac
existing casinos, and about 40 percent to be lost entirely. We expect the casinos to go after the best customers,” said Fitch Ratings analyst Alex Bumazhny, “rather than the less optimal customers.” Bumazhny was surprised that Trump Taj Mahal failed to benefit from the closing of Trump Plaza — indeed, it suffered a steep fall. On the positive side, Internet gambling accounts at the casinos increased 6%. The should soften the blow to the market of the defection of Internet partners from Trump Entertainment Resorts, the company that can’t do anything right. (It’s presently demanding $175 million in state and city subsidies, which takes some nerve.) Borgata/Bwin.party was tops with $3.4 million while Caesars Interactive took the #2 spot with $2.6 million.

Resorts Atlantic City neither suffered nor benefited from the changed dynamic. Property President Mark Giannantonio attributed it to Lady Luck, in the form of poor table hold. “We just ran very unlucky. We would have been up about 8.5 percent.” Blaming the media for all the recent bad news on the Boardwalk (i.e., killing the messenger), Giannantonio opined, “We had three closures in about a month, so news coverage certainly had a negative impact on the city. The further we get away from that — and I think the city will rebound and rebuild.”

* One of the more questionable uses of public funds, mostly rescinded, is Maryland‘s policy of leasing slot machines to casinos. Although the law requiring the state to be the slot provider was repealed two years ago, the change hasn’t fully sunk in. The state’s two smallest casinos, Rocky Gap and Ocean Downs, continue to benefit from this superfluous policy. I mean, if a casino can’t afford its own slots, what use is it? And why should Ocean Downs and Rocky Gap continue to enjoy this favored status when everybody else is paying their own way?

* Quickly revising a prophecy made at Global Gaming Expo, uber-mogul Sheldon Adelson postponed recovery in the Macao casino business to the Sheldon Asecond quarter of next year. Only a few days earlier, he was predicting an end-of-2014 comeback. “Notwithstanding the recent cyclicality in Macao, I am as confident today as I have ever been in the long-term future of our company. This confidence is not based on whimsical fancy, but is founded on the company’s sustainable strategic advantages,” he added.

To make his point, Adelson is promising a 30% increase in next year’s dividend and an additional $2 billion in share repurchases. Profitability also exceeded Wall Street‘s expectations. However, Union Gaming analyst Grant Govertsen warned of political instability in Hong Kong translating into players commuting less and betting smaller. In other Adelson marginalia, the Las Vegas Sands sultan gave the thumbs-down to tourist-only casinos in Japan and South Korea. He also forecast a five-month soft opening of Parisian, in Macao. That’s so soft it’s squishy.

This entry was posted in Atlantic City, Boyd Gaming, Colony Capital, G2E, Harrah's, International, Internet gambling, Japan, Macau, Maryland, Mohegan Sun, Revel, Sheldon Adelson, Trump Entertainment Resorts, Wall Street. Bookmark the permalink.