Harrah’s red-headed stepchild

If we (you, me, everybody) had a dollar for ever time we heard a rumor that Harrah’s Entertainment was putting The Rio on the block, we could pool enough moolah to amortize CEO Gary Loveman‘s recent $100,000 pay cut. Our collection plate just got a buck richer today.

This rumor could, however, be the real deal — not least because it comes from Bloomberg reporters Beth Jinks and Jonathan Keehner. It would seem that Harrah’s acquisition of Planet Hollywood has made The Rio redundant and Loveman is trawling for offers. The half-billion-dollar asking price would effectively negate the debt assumption that went into the Planet Ho purchase. However, it also (at 8X EBITDA) presumes an annual Rio cash flow of roughly $63 million, a figure of which I would be skeptical, not least because Harrah’s no longer deigns to break out individual-property results.

The good news is that Starwood Capital Group, which is currently trying to purchase Extended Stay Hotels out of bankruptcy, is one prospective bidder. Starwood’s portfolio emphasizes leisure and hospitality properties.

The bad news is that the other named bidder is — Oh no!Colony C[r]apital. Now that James Packer is out of the U.S. casino industry, Colony CEO Tom Barrack (still being plucked like a chicken by the wily Fertitta Brothers) inherits Packer’s dubious mantle of being the sector’s worst investor. He’s already had Resorts Atlantic City taken away from him by creditors and the comparably indebted Atlantic City Hilton may soon follow. S&G doesn’t know if Barrack’s Las Vegas Hilton is experiencing similar problems but the recent incidence (corroborated by two highly credible patrons) of charging $25 to park your own car suggests LVH financial desperation of a high order.

The silver lining of a Barrack buyout is that he would probably hire newly formed Fertitta Gaming to run it for him, making it a de facto arm of Station Casinos — and bringing the Fertittas closer to the Strip than ever. (Given Barrack’s apparent lack of gaming-industry savvy, it’s entirely possible he’d just flip it to Station in return for some wooden nickels and a free spa treatment.) That would certainly be preferable to entrusting The Rio to Barrack’s right-hand casino man on the East Coast, the obstreperous Nick Ribis.

Since Barrack has a history of either A) overpaying, B) overleveraging or C) doing both, you’d have to regard him as the early favorite in this race. What doesn’t compute is why Harrah’s would shuck one off-Strip property at the same time co-owner Texas Pacific Group is conducting a panty raid on debt owed by the Palms. Where’s the sense in ditching one casino at Flamingo and Valley View, just to trade it for another (plus unsellable condos)?

Is Loveman trying to rid himself of the most famous/notorious Vegas acquisition made by predecessor Philip G. Satre? This wouldn’t be the first time logic and Harrah’s corporate strategy intersected to form a null set. At least a sale-in-progress would finally give Harrah’s an official excuse for its ongoing neglect of The Rio.

Chickenomics, cont. It seems that at least one other media outlet has been pondering the corporate ramifications of Pioneer Gambling Hall co-owner Sue Lowden‘s proposed chicken-based economy. Across the pond, The Economist offered these musings …

It’s not clear how far Ms. Lowden wants to take this idea of widening the barter economy, but it could have far-reaching ramifications, not just for health care reform but for financial-sector reform as well. For example, payment in kind would eliminate many of the risky innovations that led to the financial crisis. It would be virtually impossible to structure a chicken-based CDO; sure, you could find buyers for the breast tranche easily enough, but who would take all those necks and feet? Leverage rules become much less necessary when you can only hedge with items that actually exist; it’s hard to imagine the notional value of chicken-based hedges greatly exceeding the number of actual chickens on the planet. And all this could be accomplished without any new taxes.

Works for us.

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